globals [ consumers-energy1 consumers-energy2 ] turtles-own [ price_of_reserve buy? buy-energy1? buy-energy2?] patches-own [ price1 price2 ] to setup ca setup-patches-energy1 setup-patches-energy2 setup-patches-noenergy setup-turtles end ;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;; to setup-patches-energy1 ; create patches energy1 ask patches with [ pxcor >= -16 and pxcor <= -4 and pycor >= 4 and pycor <= 16 ] [set pcolor 7 set price1 price_energy1 ] end to setup-patches-energy2 ; create patches energy2 ask patches with [ pxcor <= 16 and pxcor >= 4 and pycor >= -16 and pycor <= -4 ] [set pcolor 137 set price2 price_energy2 ] end to setup-patches-noenergy ; create patches no-energy ask patches with [ pxcor > -4 and pxcor <= 16 and pycor > -4 and pycor <= 16 ] [set pcolor 9.9 ] ask patches with [ pxcor >= -16 and pxcor < 4 and pycor < 4 and pycor >= -16 ] [set pcolor 9.9 ] end to setup-turtles ; create consumers wich number is manages by slider crt population [setxy 0 0 set color 0 set price_of_reserve (random 10) set buy? (0) set buy-energy1? (0) set buy-energy2? (0)] size-turtles end to size-turtles ask turtles [ set size 1.2 set shape "person" ] end ;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;; to go move-turtles count-turtles-energy1 count-turtles-energy2 do-plots end ;; movimento prezzo energy1 e energy2 to move-turtles ask turtles [fd step_number ;; all turtles move forward number step rt random 360 ;; ...and turn a random amount if pcolor = 7 [ if price_of_reserve >= price1 ;; when consumer buyes energy1 [set color 5 set buy-energy1? (buy-energy1? + 1) set buy? (buy? + 1 ) set price1 (price1 + 0.05)]] ;; price of energy1 increases if pcolor = 7 [ if price_of_reserve < price1 ;; when consumer doesn't buy energy1 [set buy-energy1? (buy-energy1? - 1) set buy? ( buy? - 1 ) if price1 > 0.5 [set price1 (price1 - 0.05)]]] ;; price of energy1 decreases if pcolor = 137 [ if price_of_reserve >= price2 ;; when consumer buyes energy2 [set color 15 set buy-energy2? ( buy-energy2? + 1 ) set buy? ( buy? + 1 )] if price2 > 0.5 and buy-energy2? >= 10 [set price2 (price2 - 0.02)]] ;; price of energy2 decreases if pcolor = 137 [ if price_of_reserve < price2 ;; when consumer doesn't buy energia2 [set buy? ( buy? - 1 )]] if pcolor = 9.9 ;; when consumer is in patches no-energy, he doesn't buy [set buy? (buy? + 0) ] ;; movimento del prezzo di riserva if buy? <= -5 [if price_of_reserve < 9.8 [set price_of_reserve (price_of_reserve + 0.2)]] ;; if the consumer doesn't buy 5 times, the price of reserve will begin to increase if buy? >= 5 [if price_of_reserve > 0.1 [set price_of_reserve (price_of_reserve - 0.1)]] ;; if the consumer buyes 5 times, the price of reserve will begin to decrease ] end to count-turtles-energy1 set consumers-energy1 count turtles with [ pcolor = 7 and price_of_reserve >= price1 ] end to count-turtles-energy2 set consumers-energy2 count turtles with [ pcolor = 137 and price_of_reserve >= price2 ] end ;; report to-report price-energy1 report mean [price1] of patches with [pcolor = 7 ] end to-report price-energy2 report mean [price2] of patches with [pcolor = 137 ] end ;; grafici to do-plots set-current-plot "Energy price" set-current-plot-pen "price_energy1" plot mean [price1] of patches with [pcolor = 7 ] set-current-plot-pen "price_energy2" plot mean [price2] of patches with [pcolor = 137 ] set-current-plot "Number of consumers" set-current-plot-pen "consumers_energy1" plot count turtles with [ pcolor = 7 and price_of_reserve >= price1 ] set-current-plot-pen "consumers_energy2" plot count turtles with [ pcolor = 137 and price_of_reserve >= price2 ] end @#$#@#$#@ GRAPHICS-WINDOW 205 10 644 470 16 16 13.0 1 10 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 -16 16 -16 16 0 0 1 ticks CC-WINDOW 5 504 971 599 Command Center 0 BUTTON 16 22 79 55 setup setup NIL 1 T OBSERVER NIL NIL NIL NIL BUTTON 16 66 79 99 go go T 1 T OBSERVER NIL NIL NIL NIL SLIDER 16 136 188 169 population population 0 50 5 1 1 NIL HORIZONTAL SLIDER 16 175 188 208 step_number step_number 0 40 20 5 1 NIL HORIZONTAL SLIDER 16 219 188 252 price_energy1 price_energy1 1 5 1 0.2 1 NIL HORIZONTAL SLIDER 16 257 188 290 price_energy2 price_energy2 5 9 9 0.2 1 NIL HORIZONTAL MONITOR 18 308 141 353 consumers-energy1 count turtles with [ pcolor = 7 and price_of_reserve >= price1 ] 17 1 11 MONITOR 18 352 141 397 consumers-energy2 count turtles with [ pcolor = 137 and price_of_reserve >= price2 ] 17 1 11 MONITOR 23 400 156 445 price_energy1 price-energy1 17 1 11 MONITOR 23 445 156 490 price_energy2 price-energy2 17 1 11 PLOT 652 10 962 183 energy price time price 0.0 10.0 0.0 10.0 true true PENS "price_energy1" 1.0 2 -4539718 true "price_energy2" 1.0 2 -1264960 true PLOT 653 195 962 372 number of consumers time number of consumers 0.0 10.0 0.0 10.0 true true PENS "consumers_energy1" 1.0 0 -7500403 true "consumers_energy2" 1.0 0 -2674135 true @#$#@#$#@ WHAT IS IT? ----------- This model tries to explain a simple energy market. There are two kind of energy: energy1 that could be oil, energy2 that could be an alternative energy and consumers of energy. What happened in the energy market if there was an alternative energy that begin to be competitive? HOW IT WORKS ------------ The world is divided in three patches: the gray patches represent supply of energy1, the pink patches represent supply of energy2 and the white patches represent the noenergy area, where turtles can't buy any kind of energy. Turtles represent consumers of energy, turtles' movements are random and when they are on gray or pink patches they can buy or not energy1 or energy2. Turtles buy if their reserve prices are higher than price of energy. During the simulation turtles' reserve prices and energy price will change. HOW TO USE IT ------------- Before starting the simulation the observer can modify some parameters using the slider on the interface: POPULATION: number of turtles STEP_NUMBER: number of step that turtles make every cycle PRICE_ENERGY1: initial price of energy1 PRICE_ENERGY2: initial price of energy2 Click SETUP botton to set up the turtles and the patches. Click GO botton to start the simulation; the turtles will become to move random in the world and they will buy or not buy energy. On the interface there are also four monitors: the "CONSUMERS_ENERGY1" monitor shows the number of consumers of energy1 over time the "CONSUMERS_ENERGY2" monitor shows the number of consumers of energy2 over time the "PRICE_ENERGY1" monitor shows the variation of price of energy1 the "PRICE_ENERGY2" monitor shows the variation of price of energy2. THINGS TO NOTICE ---------------- It is important to observe the movement of energy price end price of reserve: if the price of reserve is higher than the energy price then the consumer buyes, or else the consumer doesn't buy. If the consumer doesn't buy more than 5 times increase his price of reserve, conversely he reduces the price of reserve. Price of energy1 will increase if consumers buy energy1 and it will decrease if consumers don't buy. Whereas price of energy2 will decrease when the consumers raise, by reason of scale economy. THINGS TO TRY ------------- The operator can modify some variable: population, step number, initial price energy1 and initial price energy2. It is interesting to observe how change the simulation with different initial price of energy1 and energy2; for example try to put: - price energy1 = price energy2 = 5 - max price energy1 = 9 and min price energy2 = 9. @#$#@#$#@ default true 0 Polygon -7500403 true true 150 5 40 250 150 205 260 250 airplane true 0 Polygon -7500403 true true 150 0 135 15 120 60 120 105 15 165 15 195 120 180 135 240 105 270 120 285 150 270 180 285 210 270 165 240 180 180 285 195 285 165 180 105 180 60 165 15 arrow true 0 Polygon -7500403 true true 150 0 0 150 105 150 105 293 195 293 195 150 300 150 box false 0 Polygon -7500403 true true 150 285 285 225 285 75 150 135 Polygon -7500403 true true 150 135 15 75 150 15 285 75 Polygon -7500403 true true 15 75 15 225 150 285 150 135 Line -16777216 false 150 285 150 135 Line -16777216 false 150 135 15 75 Line -16777216 false 150 135 285 75 bug true 0 Circle -7500403 true true 96 182 108 Circle -7500403 true true 110 127 80 Circle -7500403 true true 110 75 80 Line -7500403 true 150 100 80 30 Line -7500403 true 150 100 220 30 butterfly true 0 Polygon -7500403 true true 150 165 209 199 225 225 225 255 195 270 165 255 150 240 Polygon -7500403 true true 150 165 89 198 75 225 75 255 105 270 135 255 150 240 Polygon -7500403 true true 139 148 100 105 55 90 25 90 10 105 10 135 25 180 40 195 85 194 139 163 Polygon -7500403 true true 162 150 200 105 245 90 275 90 290 105 290 135 275 180 260 195 215 195 162 165 Polygon -16777216 true false 150 255 135 225 120 150 135 120 150 105 165 120 180 150 165 225 Circle -16777216 true false 135 90 30 Line -16777216 false 150 105 195 60 Line -16777216 false 150 105 105 60 car false 0 Polygon -7500403 true true 300 180 279 164 261 144 240 135 226 132 213 106 203 84 185 63 159 50 135 50 75 60 0 150 0 165 0 225 300 225 300 180 Circle -16777216 true false 180 180 90 Circle -16777216 true false 30 180 90 Polygon -16777216 true false 162 80 132 78 134 135 209 135 194 105 189 96 180 89 Circle -7500403 true true 47 195 58 Circle -7500403 true true 195 195 58 circle false 0 Circle -7500403 true true 0 0 300 circle 2 false 0 Circle -7500403 true true 0 0 300 Circle -16777216 true false 30 30 240 cow false 0 Polygon -7500403 true true 200 193 197 249 179 249 177 196 166 187 140 189 93 191 78 179 72 211 49 209 48 181 37 149 25 120 25 89 45 72 103 84 179 75 198 76 252 64 272 81 293 103 285 121 255 121 242 118 224 167 Polygon -7500403 true true 73 210 86 251 62 249 48 208 Polygon -7500403 true true 25 114 16 195 9 204 23 213 25 200 39 123 cylinder false 0 Circle -7500403 true true 0 0 300 dot false 0 Circle -7500403 true true 90 90 120 face happy false 0 Circle -7500403 true true 8 8 285 Circle -16777216 true false 60 75 60 Circle -16777216 true false 180 75 60 Polygon -16777216 true false 150 255 90 239 62 213 47 191 67 179 90 203 109 218 150 225 192 218 210 203 227 181 251 194 236 217 212 240 face neutral false 0 Circle -7500403 true true 8 7 285 Circle -16777216 true false 60 75 60 Circle -16777216 true false 180 75 60 Rectangle -16777216 true false 60 195 240 225 face sad false 0 Circle -7500403 true true 8 8 285 Circle -16777216 true false 60 75 60 Circle -16777216 true false 180 75 60 Polygon -16777216 true false 150 168 90 184 62 210 47 232 67 244 90 220 109 205 150 198 192 205 210 220 227 242 251 229 236 206 212 183 fish false 0 Polygon -1 true false 44 131 21 87 15 86 0 120 15 150 0 180 13 214 20 212 45 166 Polygon -1 true false 135 195 119 235 95 218 76 210 46 204 60 165 Polygon -1 true false 75 45 83 77 71 103 86 114 166 78 135 60 Polygon -7500403 true true 30 136 151 77 226 81 280 119 292 146 292 160 287 170 270 195 195 210 151 212 30 166 Circle -16777216 true false 215 106 30 flag false 0 Rectangle -7500403 true true 60 15 75 300 Polygon -7500403 true true 90 150 270 90 90 30 Line -7500403 true 75 135 90 135 Line -7500403 true 75 45 90 45 flower false 0 Polygon -10899396 true false 135 120 165 165 180 210 180 240 150 300 165 300 195 240 195 195 165 135 Circle -7500403 true true 85 132 38 Circle -7500403 true true 130 147 38 Circle -7500403 true true 192 85 38 Circle -7500403 true true 85 40 38 Circle -7500403 true true 177 40 38 Circle -7500403 true true 177 132 38 Circle -7500403 true true 70 85 38 Circle -7500403 true true 130 25 38 Circle -7500403 true true 96 51 108 Circle -16777216 true false 113 68 74 Polygon -10899396 true false 189 233 219 188 249 173 279 188 234 218 Polygon -10899396 true false 180 255 150 210 105 210 75 240 135 240 house false 0 Rectangle -7500403 true true 45 120 255 285 Rectangle -16777216 true false 120 210 180 285 Polygon -7500403 true true 15 120 150 15 285 120 Line -16777216 false 30 120 270 120 leaf false 0 Polygon -7500403 true true 150 210 135 195 120 210 60 210 30 195 60 180 60 165 15 135 30 120 15 105 40 104 45 90 60 90 90 105 105 120 120 120 105 60 120 60 135 30 150 15 165 30 180 60 195 60 180 120 195 120 210 105 240 90 255 90 263 104 285 105 270 120 285 135 240 165 240 180 270 195 240 210 180 210 165 195 Polygon -7500403 true true 135 195 135 240 120 255 105 255 105 285 135 285 165 240 165 195 line true 0 Line -7500403 true 150 0 150 300 line half true 0 Line -7500403 true 150 0 150 150 pentagon false 0 Polygon -7500403 true true 150 15 15 120 60 285 240 285 285 120 person false 0 Circle -7500403 true true 110 5 80 Polygon -7500403 true true 105 90 120 195 90 285 105 300 135 300 150 225 165 300 195 300 210 285 180 195 195 90 Rectangle -7500403 true true 127 79 172 94 Polygon -7500403 true true 195 90 240 150 225 180 165 105 Polygon -7500403 true true 105 90 60 150 75 180 135 105 plant false 0 Rectangle -7500403 true true 135 90 165 300 Polygon -7500403 true true 135 255 90 210 45 195 75 255 135 285 Polygon -7500403 true true 165 255 210 210 255 195 225 255 165 285 Polygon -7500403 true true 135 180 90 135 45 120 75 180 135 210 Polygon -7500403 true true 165 180 165 210 225 180 255 120 210 135 Polygon -7500403 true true 135 105 90 60 45 45 75 105 135 135 Polygon -7500403 true true 165 105 165 135 225 105 255 45 210 60 Polygon -7500403 true true 135 90 120 45 150 15 180 45 165 90 square false 0 Rectangle -7500403 true true 30 30 270 270 square 2 false 0 Rectangle -7500403 true true 30 30 270 270 Rectangle -16777216 true false 60 60 240 240 star false 0 Polygon -7500403 true true 151 1 185 108 298 108 207 175 242 282 151 216 59 282 94 175 3 108 116 108 target false 0 Circle -7500403 true true 0 0 300 Circle -16777216 true false 30 30 240 Circle -7500403 true true 60 60 180 Circle -16777216 true false 90 90 120 Circle -7500403 true true 120 120 60 tree false 0 Circle -7500403 true true 118 3 94 Rectangle -6459832 true false 120 195 180 300 Circle -7500403 true true 65 21 108 Circle -7500403 true true 116 41 127 Circle -7500403 true true 45 90 120 Circle -7500403 true true 104 74 152 triangle false 0 Polygon -7500403 true true 150 30 15 255 285 255 triangle 2 false 0 Polygon -7500403 true true 150 30 15 255 285 255 Polygon -16777216 true false 151 99 225 223 75 224 truck false 0 Rectangle -7500403 true true 4 45 195 187 Polygon -7500403 true true 296 193 296 150 259 134 244 104 208 104 207 194 Rectangle -1 true false 195 60 195 105 Polygon -16777216 true false 238 112 252 141 219 141 218 112 Circle -16777216 true false 234 174 42 Rectangle -7500403 true true 181 185 214 194 Circle -16777216 true false 144 174 42 Circle -16777216 true false 24 174 42 Circle -7500403 false true 24 174 42 Circle -7500403 false true 144 174 42 Circle -7500403 false true 234 174 42 turtle true 0 Polygon -10899396 true false 215 204 240 233 246 254 228 266 215 252 193 210 Polygon -10899396 true false 195 90 225 75 245 75 260 89 269 108 261 124 240 105 225 105 210 105 Polygon -10899396 true false 105 90 75 75 55 75 40 89 31 108 39 124 60 105 75 105 90 105 Polygon -10899396 true false 132 85 134 64 107 51 108 17 150 2 192 18 192 52 169 65 172 87 Polygon -10899396 true false 85 204 60 233 54 254 72 266 85 252 107 210 Polygon -7500403 true true 119 75 179 75 209 101 224 135 220 225 175 261 128 261 81 224 74 135 88 99 wheel false 0 Circle -7500403 true true 3 3 294 Circle -16777216 true false 30 30 240 Line -7500403 true 150 285 150 15 Line -7500403 true 15 150 285 150 Circle -7500403 true true 120 120 60 Line -7500403 true 216 40 79 269 Line -7500403 true 40 84 269 221 Line -7500403 true 40 216 269 79 Line -7500403 true 84 40 221 269 x false 0 Polygon -7500403 true true 270 75 225 30 30 225 75 270 Polygon -7500403 true true 30 75 75 30 270 225 225 270 @#$#@#$#@ NetLogo 4.0.2 @#$#@#$#@ @#$#@#$#@ @#$#@#$#@ @#$#@#$#@ @#$#@#$#@ default 0.0 -0.2 0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1 1.0 0.0 0.2 0 0.0 1.0 link direction true 0 Line -7500403 true 150 150 90 180 Line -7500403 true 150 150 210 180 @#$#@#$#@